Demolition activity to be crucial again in providing support to the dry bulk market 1

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Clipper Dry Bulk Carrier

Clipper Dry Bulk Carrier

We appear to have forgotten demolition activity this year, with the Baltic Dry Index gaining traction in the latter part of the second half and emerging from the doldrums. Still, new ship deliveries are piling up as we approach the year’s final stretch, while things aren’t looking all that rosy when one takes a look at the orderbook build up in the next couple of years, especially after this year’s frantic ordering activity, especially in the dry bulk segment. It seems that most ship owners are prepared to pay the price of a two-year weak market rates during the early stages of their newbuildings’ lives and break-even or even profit afterwards. The reason being that this time around, orders are made at much more reasonable prices when compared to the 2007-2008 excess.
According to the latest weekly reports from shipbrokers like Golden Destiny, in the ever so important ship scrapping markets, “benchmark scrap price levels in Indian subcontinent region seem hard to surpass the barrier of $400/ldt for dry cargo since the end of May, while they fell further during the last days of July by loosing $10/ldt. Indications for scrap rates in Indian subcontinent region are now $375/ldt for dry and $410/ldt for wet cargo. In China, there has been a soft rise of $5-$10/ldt with rates now at $325/ldt for dry and $340/ldt for wet cargo.
India remains weak with sources suggesting that Alang, for the first seven months of the year, has not even reported half of the number of ships which were beached last year. The stability of Indian Rupee to USD and local steel demand for infrastructure and real estate are the basic fundamentals lying behind the rebound of scrap rates. After government’s intervention, there are hopes for not further depreciation in Indian rupee. Ramadan period is also an important factor for the current soft price momentum, while yards at Pakistan seem full of capacity and Bangladesh is still facing delays in beaching and opening of letters of credit from brokers for delivery of the ship“, the Piraeus-based shipbroker said.
In total there were 17 ships reportedly sold for scrap over the course the past week, sporting a total deadweight tonnage of 1,311,419 tons. Five of those ships were dry bulkers, seven were tankers, one was a gas tanker, a couple of them were liners, one was a container and one a Ro-Ro. Demolition activity was down 19% week-on-week, but it was up by 33% in the tanker segment. The main reason for the fall in activity was a 44% decrease of dry bulk carriers’ demolition deals. “The largest activity is recorded in the tanker segments by holding 41% share against 29% share from bulk carriers. In terms of deadweight sent for scrap, there has been 7% weekly increase with 3 VLCC tankers sent for disposal, 1 aframax tanker, 1 panamax tanker and 1 panamax bulker. India is reportedly to have won 7 of the 17 demolition transactions, Bangladesh 4, Pakistan 4, China 1 and 1 demolition transaction are reported at no revealed destination. Benchmark scrap prices in the Indian subcontinent region: $375/ldt for dry and $410/ldt for wet cargo. Scrap prices in China hover at $325/ldt ldt for dry and $340/ldt for wet cargo. Notable demolition transactions: LNG Barge FORMENTERA with 2,154ldt achieved in India an impressive price of $510/ldt due to high quantity of non ferrous on board including 386tons of solid aluminum tanks.
At a similar week in 2012, demolition activity was down by 59%, in terms of the reported number of transactions, when 7 vessels had been reported for scrap of total deadweight 366,304 tons with 3 disposals for bulkers, 2 tankers and 2 Ro-Ro. Ship-breakers in Indian subcontinent region had been offering $375-$385/ldt for dry and $400-$410/ldt for wet cargo”, Golden Destiny said.
Meanwhile, in a separate report, shipbroker Intermodal noted that “with difficulties still witnessed in much of the Indian Sub-Continent it has been no surprise that demo candidates were receiving ever softer prices from breakers in the region. With steel demand softening further in the region and pressure still mounting from the ever insatiable climb of the Indian Rupee, cash buyers had little choice left but to back down from any impulsive purchases and wait out the “storm” looking for when the market would find its new norm. As it seems, Chinese scrap buyers were more then eager to take up this opportunity to cover the gap, anting up their offers in the hope to attract some of the more high spec dry bulk candidates out there. Prices overall weakened this week, with wet tonnage going for around 340-410$/ldt and dry units seeing levels of about 325-380$/ldt”, it concluded.
Nikos Roussanoglou,

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